If the potential reward is less than the risk, it will be more difficult to make money over many trades, since losses will be bigger than profits. For example, if the profit target is 1000 points above the entry, as in the chart below, then ideally, the difference between the entry stop-loss (risk) is 500 points or less. Ideally, the potential reward is twice as much as the risk. After establishing the entry, stop-loss and target, consider the profit potential that the trade offers. Consider the risk/reward ratio before proceeding.If the price action moves favourably, the stop loss is trailed behind the price to help lock in profit. A trailing stop-loss could also be used.An estimated profit target may be the height of the wedge at its thickest part, added to the breakout/entry point. Set a profit target or choose how you will exit a profitable position.Risk-management is an important element of trading. Others may place the stop loss closer to keep the stop-loss size smaller. Some traders opt to place their stop-loss just outside the opposite side of the wedge from the breakout. This can provide another entry opportunity. Once the price has broken out, it will sometimes come back to retest the old trendline of the wedge. You could open a buy position if the price passes above the upper trendline of a descending wedge, or a sell position when the price falls below the lower trendline of an ascending wedge. Check the trendlines to make sure that you have drawn them to your liking (typically, they are drawn along, and connecting, swing highs and lows). Verify that the price has moved outside the wedge. This means the price moves outside the drawn wedge pattern. Draw trendlines along the swing highs and the swing lows to highlight the pattern. The falling wedge is a bullish pattern, whether it forms after an established downtrend or during an uptrend, so the next time you spot this pattern on your favorite market exercise caution if you are holding a short position or prepare for an opportunity to get long. A target could again have been placed at the level where the rising wedge started from with a stop loss below the final lower low.Īlways make sure that your potential reward is larger than the risk you are taking on and if your stop loss ends up being too far away, then consider placing your stop below a previous swing long that was formed on the way up before the resistance line was broken. That being said, there was additional confirmation that this falling wedge was about to end when the MACD-Histogram started picking up momentum divergence between the lower lows at the support line.Īlso note how momentum increased dramatically once price broke above the resistance line, which signaled an end to the pattern. This is a great example where conservative traders would not have had an opportunity to enter if they waited for a retest of the breakout level. My final chart shows the same falling wedge in Gold that led to a trend continuation when it ended. This occurrence does not necessarily always happen but is another confirmation signal to look out for since the MACD-Histogram also showed a wedge-like formation. Note that the example above also shows a decline in the MACD-Histogram’s peaks before the patter ends. Once this pattern ends there will usually be an increase in momentum once price breaks above the resistance line. Traders Tip: When you are following a falling wedge in real-time, it can be a good idea to watch for momentum divergence on a MACD-Histogram between the lower lows, and use it as an additional confirmation method that a falling wedge might be nearing an end. The ideal place to set a target will be at the upper level where the falling wedge started from, with a stop loss a few pips below the final low before the breakout occurred. Just keep in mind though, that a retest of the breakout level might not always happen and result in a trader missing an entry. Conservative traders, on the other hand, will generally wait for price to retest the upper resistance line from above before they will execute a long trade. Practice This Strategy How to Trade the Falling Wedge Patternīecause the falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern, aggressive traders will typically wait for price to break above the upper resistance line before they will execute a long position.
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